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TripAdvisor, Inc. (TRIP)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $553M (+4% YoY) with GAAP diluted EPS $0.43 and non‑GAAP diluted EPS $0.65; Adjusted EBITDA was $123M (22.2% margin) .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, non‑GAAP EPS beat ($0.65 vs $0.55*) while revenue modestly missed ($553M vs $562.6M*); S&P EBITDA consensus was below the company’s reported Adjusted EBITDA (S&P “EBITDA” $94M* vs company “Adjusted EBITDA” $123M) — note definitional differences*.
- Management announced an operating model reset to unify experiences across Tripadvisor and Viator and expects at least $85M in annualized gross cost savings (majority realized in 2026, fully by 2027); restructuring charges of ~$35–$40M are expected, largely in Q4 2025 .
- FY25 revenue growth guidance lowered to 3%–4% from 5%–7%, Adjusted EBITDA margin maintained at 16%–18%; Q4 outlook: consolidated revenue approximately flat YoY, Adjusted EBITDA margin ~11%–13% .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Viator growth and profitability: revenue $294M (+9% YoY), experiences bookings ~6.6M (+18% YoY), GBV ~$1.3B (+15% YoY); Adjusted EBITDA $50M (16.8% margin) reflecting marketing efficiency and repeat bookings strength .
- TheFork outperformance: revenue $63M (+28% YoY; +20% cc) and Adjusted EBITDA $14M (21.9% margin), with growing B2B subscription mix and product innovation (AI booking assistant) .
- Clear strategic pivot to an experiences‑led and AI‑enabled operating model: “The shift in our operating model…positions Tripadvisor Group as an experiences‑led and AI‑enabled company.” — CEO Matt Goldberg ; “We will be launching an annualized gross cost savings program of $85M…” — CFO Mike Noonan .
What Went Wrong
- Brand Tripadvisor pressure: revenue $235M (‑8% YoY), segment Adjusted EBITDA $59M (25.3% margin vs 33.9% last year), with accelerating traffic headwinds in free channels impacting branded hotels (‑5% YoY) and media (‑11% YoY) .
- Consolidated marketing deleverage: marketing expense was $227M (41.1% of revenue), +150 bps YoY, driven by Brand Tripadvisor mixing to paid amid traffic headwinds .
- FY revenue guide lowered: management now expects FY25 consolidated revenue growth of 3%–4% (from 5%–7% previously), citing persistent traffic headwinds while maintaining margin guidance .
Financial Results
Consolidated Results and Estimate Comparison
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Year-over-Year Comparison (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)
Segment Breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our portfolio mix is now anchored in high‑growth marketplaces, which now represent nearly 60% of our revenue and 30% of our profit over the last twelve months.” — CEO Matt Goldberg .
- “We will be launching an annualized gross cost savings program of $85 million in Q4…executed throughout 2026 and…fully realized by 2027.” — CFO Mike Noonan .
- “Tripadvisor is already among the most cited sources by LLMs…number eight overall and the only travel company in the top 20…We will…shift our focus from AI‑powered features to a fully AI‑native approach.” — CEO Matt Goldberg .
- “At Brand Tripadvisor…we experienced stronger‑than‑anticipated traffic headwinds that accelerated throughout the quarter, negatively affecting both free and paid channels.” — CFO Mike Noonan .
- “Together with Tripadvisor, [Viator] is the category’s largest, most trusted, and most profitable platform…We believe we can accelerate off [GBV $4.6B and 17% items growth LTM].” — CEO Matt Goldberg .
Q&A Highlights
- Growth vs margin in Experiences: Management believes the new operating model allows both re‑accelerated growth and margin expansion; leadership claim on scale (400k experiences, 65k operators) and trust, with GBV $4.6B LTM and items growth 17% .
- New user and geo expansion: Disciplined new user acquisition ROI; leverage TripAdvisor’s strong European brand/traffic to grow efficiently in new markets .
- Go‑to‑market brand positioning: Both Tripadvisor and Viator will operate; leading brand may vary by market/category with increased cross‑sell from hotels/restaurants into experiences .
- Legacy meta approach: Maintain product quality but deprioritize incremental investment given SEO headwinds; manage for profitability .
- Share repurchases: Expect to restart open‑market repurchases in Q4 under programmatic approach, $160M authorization remaining .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 primary EPS: Actual $0.65 vs consensus $0.55 — beat*.
- Q3 2025 revenue: Actual $553M vs consensus $562.6M — slight miss*.
- Q3 2025 EBITDA (S&P Global definition): Actual $94M vs consensus $115.5M — miss; note company reports Adjusted EBITDA of $123M (definitions differ) *.
- Target price consensus mean: $17.63*.
- EPS and revenue estimate counts: 14 for both*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: Expect consensus to reflect lowered FY revenue growth (3%–4%) and Q4 segment dynamics (Brand Tripadvisor declines, Experiences acceleration); margin expectations likely stable given maintained FY margin guidance .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The narrative pivot is decisive: unified experiences operating model, resegmentation, and AI‑native strategy should be the principal multiple drivers into 2026; near‑term costs are a setup for medium‑term growth and margin leverage .
- Experiences is compounding: bookings +18%, GBV +15%, margin +550 bps YoY; mix shift to direct/repeat and 3P merchant (no marketing spend) strengthens unit economics .
- Brand Tripadvisor headwinds remain the key drag: anticipate continued revenue pressure and Q4 margin step‑down; focus is profitability over low‑margin growth .
- FY guide reset lowers top‑line expectations but preserves margin; Q4 flat revenue and 11%–13% margin with ~$10M savings benefit — watch execution of savings and experiences acceleration .
- Cash/authorization provide flexibility:
$1.2B cash and expected buyback restart ($160M remaining) can support programmatic repurchases, contingent on macro . - Monitor AI deliverables: Q4 launch of planning MVP and embedded apps/licensing deals could unlock new demand funnels and monetization channels .
- 2026 setup: ≥$85M gross savings to be executed through 2026 and fully realized by 2027, plus experiences TAM/geographic expansion; margin improvement of ~100 bps preliminarily indicated for 2026 .